
VP Harris’s closing argument includes her promise to voters that she’ll be fighting hard to make their lives better while pointing out that her opponent, the GOP MAGA ex-president has an alternate agenda based on retribution of his perceived enemies. His focus won’t be to make life better for all Americans.
It’s my prediction that the democrat Vice President Kamala Harris will be elected to be the 47th US president, with women in part, being the driving force because the polling models haven’t taken into account the women’s anger over the 2022 Dobbs SCOTUS decision, limiting their access to legal, safe abortions as part of reproductive healthcare.

While he can be an entertaining performer, he’s not a serious man. The GOP MAGA ex-president has repeatedly stated that he plans on using the military to redress perceived grievances by his political opponents like US Congressional members Adam Schiff and Nancy Pelosi, that Haitians as legal immigrants have been eating family pets, that millions of criminal immigrants are crossing the US southern border just to vote in US elections, these immigrants are vermin, poisoning the blood of our country, that the US election process is so rigged and ripe with fraud which explains how he’s the real winner of the 2020 election.
But when conservative outlets like Goldman Sachs and WSJ state that most economists view Trumps economic plans to be much worse than VP Harris’s proposals for average earners, then workers should listen. When a nonpartisan public policy organization states that Trump’s economic plans would bankrupt SS funds by 2031, it’s time to face reality. When multiple generals who worked for Trump call him a Fascist, it’s time to pay attention.

Meanwhile, the GOP MAGA ex-president with his cult-like millions of supporters has either consciously or unconsciously done just about everything possible to turn-off all potential voters outside of his GOP MAGA coalition with a ceiling of 48% at the most of American eligible voters. His actions border on election malpractice. It’s as if he’s self-sabotaging his chances for a presidential election win.
His latest rally escapades of handling the microphone by simulating a sex act, falsely accusing states like Pennsylvania of conducting a fraudulent election, bragging about how he’ll be the protector of women, whether they like it or not, and the frequent usage of other vulgar rhetoric are guaranteed to push away independent women voters en masse.
Is it possible that he’s figured out that he doesn’t want to be Elon Musk’s presidential puppet while a smarter, younger, true believer of the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025, vice presidential pick, Senator JD Vance is in the wings waiting to take over as soon as he’s deemed too impaired? Or is he truly cognitively disabled?

As per the November 2nd Fortune article by Shawn Tully, “Trump just blew a huge lead, and the MSG rally started the drop, says top data scientists:
Excerpts:
“Trump’s darkening prospects mark a dramatic reversal from the election’s dynamic less than 13 days ago.”
The Madison Square Garden rally proved the turning point
“The earthquake happened. It wasn’t ignited by the Harris camp, but an unforced error by the Trump team. The event that transformed the election was billed as the capstone to a movement bound for glory: The Oct. 27 rally at Madison Square Garden, in the heart of Trump’s home city of New York, before rowdy audience of 20,000.”
“The spectacle boasted around three-dozen speakers, but few top politicians and no widely-respected statesmen. They divided mainly between highly controversial Trump loyalists who embodied—and from the podium, championed—the candidate’s most extreme views, and marquee names from the worlds of entertainment and right-wing media.”

“The cast encompassed such divisive figures as disgraced former NY Mayor and onetime Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani, who was disbarred and suffered a $148 million judgment that forced him into bankruptcy for falsely claiming that Georgia officials tried to rig the 2020 election; Stephen Miller, Trump’s former White House advisor who advocates draconian measures to curb immigration; Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the gadfly Trump has promised to install in a top position, and whose radical environmental views contradict the former president’s; and Elon Musk, the multi-billionaire given to outrageous tweeting in his self-owned platform X.”
“The speeches unleashed shockwaves just when Trump needed to stay smoothly on course. The most infamous gaffe: insult comedian Tony Hinchcliffe calling Puerto Rico “a floating island of garbage in the middle of the ocean,” followed by his howler that Latinos “love making babies.” Businessman Grant Cardone’s charge that “Harris and her pimp handlers will destroy the country” amplified the negative messaging. During his address, Trump himself kept the roast going, characterizing his opponent as “a low IQ individual.”

“According to Miller, the gathering that Trump called a “love fest” seems to have spread not unity and inclusion, but hostility—especially to women. None other than Nikki Haley, Trump’s leading female rival for the nomination, expressed that view in an Oct. 29 interview for Fox News.”
“This campaign is not going to win talking about crowd sizes or whether she’s dumb,” intoned Haley. “Your target market is suburban women who are college educated. This bromance thing, this masculinity stuff [on display at MSG] it borders on edgy to the point where it’s going to make women uncomfortable. Fifty-three percent of the electorate are women. They care about the issues and how they’re being talked to. There was no reason to have a comedian at the event,” where the swipe at Puerto Rico proved “harmful” to the Trump-Vance ticket.”
“In the days that followed, while the Dems paraded the Hinchcliff disaster in the media, Trump advocates kept the bad vibes coming. A super PAC launched by Musk shared a video on X that that used vulgar wordplay to demean the vice president. Then in a Carlson interview that aired on Nov. 1, Trump denounced former Congresswoman and long-time foe Liz Cheney as a warmonger, and suggested she be sent into battle, proving she’s a coward and hypocrite.”
“Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, OK?” stated the GOP standardbearer. “Let’s see how she feels about it. You know, when the guns are trained on her face.”

The MSG extravaganza and the follow-on screwups are sinking Trump’s numbers, says Miller
“Miller bases his model not on the polls or opinions of the pundits, but on the prediction or betting markets. His main data source are the prices posted on what he deems the most trustworthy, and highly liquid, political wagering platform PredictIt. Miller applies his own methodology to the PredictIt odds, and translates the result into the share of electoral college votes that each candidate commands at any given moment. Miller updates the counts every minute, and you can follow the race, practically in real-time, on his site Virtualtout.io.”
“This writer first followed Miller’s methods in the 2020 election, and was impressed by the discipline of his approach and his accuracy in gauging results for both the presidential contest, and the two Senate seat runoffs in Georgia that secured control of the upper chamber for the Democrats.”
“Miller’s numbers show a jaw-dropping swing to Harris that would have seemed unimaginable two weeks ago. On Oct. 26, Trump tallied 367 electoral votes to just 171 for Harris, putting the GOP nominee 196 in front. The next day, Trump headed his blowout at MSG, and no sooner did the giant screens go blank than he started losing ground. On Monday, Harris gained 18 electoral votes, and she kept improving every day through midnight on Thursday. By then, Harris had gained 58. Trump’s lead shrank by over half from 196 to 80.”

“The drop accelerated from there. On Friday, Trump’s horde fell by an extraordinary 39 electoral votes, lowering his total to 270 (the number needed to win), against 268 for Harris. By 10 a.m. on Saturday, Trump had shed another 5, putting Harris in the lead by 273 to 265. All told, in the seven days since Trump peaked on Oct. 25, he’s lost 102 electoral votes. According to the Miller model, what looked like an invincible lead collapsed in a week.”
See: Trump’s Views On Social Security And Medicare—And Why Experts Say Funds Could Run Out
And yet in spite of all the evidence it seems the race between the two is still tight.
17:40 pm GMT here in the UK on the 5th November.
It would be so nice to wake up tomorrow morning to find there has been an unexpected swing and Harris has won by an unarguable majority.
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