aside How Is Cambridge Analytica Part Of The FBI’s Trump-Russia Probe?

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

Steve Bannon used to be a Vice President of Cambridge Analytica, a company funded by the hedge fund Billionaire Robert Mercer. It specializes in what’s called “psychographic” profiling, meaning they use data collected online to create personality profiles for voters. 

This was the company that was used to target potential voters for Donald Trump as he was running as the Republican candidate to become the US president. The president’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, was the one charged with overseeing Trump’s digital operations, and he is the reason Cambridge Analytica joined the Trump campaign.”

The question is, why do House investigators and the FBI think that this company may have helped Russia target fake news to specific markets and voters?

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

Here is the rest of the story…

On December 18, 2017, Sean Illing of VOX penned the following report, “Cambridge Analytica,the shady data firm that might be a key Trump-Russia link, explained.”(Why House investigators think this company might have helped Russia spread fake news.)

Excerpts:

“The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that Special Counsel Robert Mueller has requested that a data analytics company called Cambridge Analytica turn over internal documents as part of its investigation into possible collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia during the 2016 election.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

“Cambridge Analytica specializes in what’s called “psychographic” profiling, meaning they use data collected online to create personality profiles for voters. They then take that information and target individuals with specifically tailored content (more on this below).”

“So far there’s been a lot of speculation about the potential links between the Trump campaign and Russia, and most of the stories have orbited around the financial dealings of the Trump family and people like Paul Manafort, Trump’s former campaign manager.”

“But this story is specifically about how team Trump, with the help of this data company, might have facilitated Russia’s meddling in the US presidential election.”

“So here’s what we know about Cambridge Analytica, its connections to the Trump campaign, and what sorts of things Mueller is likely looking into.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

Trump’s digital army

“In June 2016, the Trump campaign hired Cambridge Analytica to take over its data operations.”

“We know from the reporting of Nicholas Confessore and Danny Hakim at the New York Times that Jared Kushner, who was charged with overseeing Trump’s digital operations, is the reason Cambridge Analytica joined the Trump campaign.”

“Kushner hired a man named Brad Parscale, a Texas-based digital expert who had worked previously for team Trump. According to Confessore and Hakim, Cambridge Analytica convinced Parscale (who has since agreed to be interviewed by the House Intelligence Committee) to “try out the firm.” The decision was reinforced by Trump’s campaign manager, Steve Bannon, who is also a former vice president of Cambridge Analytica.”

Image result for PHOTOS OF Brad Parscale AND KUSHNER

“Its not clear to what extent Cambridge Analytica helped (Parscale denied that Cambridge was of any use in a recent 60 Minutes interview), but we do know that Trump’s digital operation was shockingly effective. Samuel Woolley, who heads the Computational Propaganda project at Oxford’s Internet Institute, found that a disproportionate amount of pro-Trump messaging was spread via automated bots and anti-Hillary propaganda. Trump’s bots, they reported at the time of the election, outnumbered Clinton’s five to one.”

“Pro-Trump programmers “carefully adjusted the timing of content production during the debates, strategically colonized pro-Clinton hashtags, and then disabled activities after Election Day.”

“Martin Moore, director of the Centre for the Study of Media, Communication and Power at King’s College, told the Guardian’s Carole Cadwalladr that Trump’s campaign “was using 40-50,000 variants of ads every day that were continuously measuring responses and then adapting and evolving based on that response.”

Related image

“These online ads were spread primarily through bots on social media platforms. The ads that got liked, shared, and retweeted the most were reproduced and redistributed based on where they were popular and who they appealed to.”

“The benefit of this kind of data is that it allows data companies like Cambridge Analytica to develop more sophisticated psychological profiles of internet users (more data points means more predictive power).”

“Cambridge Analytica was also able to use this real-time information to determine which messages were resonating where and then shape Trump’s travel schedule around it. So, if there was a spike in clicks on an article about immigration in a county in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, Trump would go there and give an immigration-focused speech.”

“When you consider how a few thousands votes in a handful of swing states determined the election, this is no small thing.”

Image result for PHOTOS OF Brad Parscale AND KUSHNER

Flynn and the Russians

“In early July, Shane Harris of the Wall Street Journal released a series of reports that offered some of the most compelling evidence yet that Trump’s campaign colluded with Russian hackers.”

“Harris interviewed a man named Peter Smith, a pro-Trump GOP operative who sought to acquire the 30,000 deleted emails from Hillary Clinton’s private server. Of the several hacker groups Smith reached out to, at least two had connections to Russia — that’s according to Smith.”

“Smith told Harris that he was in regular contact with Gen. Michael Flynn, who at the time was one of Trump’s closest confidants.”

Image result for PHOTOS OF Brad Parscale AND KUSHNER

“Here’s a key passage from the Harris report, which my Vox colleague Andrew Prokop highlighted at the time:”

“He [Smith] said, ‘I’m talking to Michael Flynn about this — if you find anything, can you let me know?’” said Eric York, a computer-security expert from Atlanta who searched hacker forums on Mr. Smith’s behalf for people who might have access to the emails. …

…In phone conversations, Mr. Smith told a computer expert he was in direct contact with Mr. Flynn and his son, according to this expert. … The expert said that based on his conversations with Mr. Smith, he understood the elder Mr. Flynn to be coordinating with Mr. Smith’s group in his capacity as a Trump campaign adviser.

“Harris examined intelligence reports that described the efforts of Russian hackers to retrieve emails from Clinton’s server and pass them along to Flynn, who would then share them with the Trump campaign.”

Image result for PHOTOS OF Brad Parscale AND KUSHNER

“By itself, Harris’s reporting makes no connection to Cambridge Analytica. But in August the Associated Press published a report that helped connect the dots. In an amended public financial filing, Flynn was forced to disclose “a brief advisory role with a firm related to a controversial data analysis company that aided the Trump campaign.”

“But we know that congressional and DOJ investigators believe that Trump’s campaign might have helped guide Russia’s voter targeting scheme and that Flynn, who worked for Trump’s campaign and with Cambridge Analytica, is suspected of having extensive ties with Russian operatives.”

Michal Kosinski. Courtesy of Kosinski

“A Cambridge Analytica spokesperson confirmed to Vox that the company is cooperating with the Russia investigation but flatly denied any wrongdoing.”

“As one of the companies that played a prominent role in the election campaign, Cambridge Analytica has been asked by the House Intelligence Committee to provide it with information that might help its investigation,” the statement said. “We believe that other organizations that worked on the campaign have been asked to do the same. CA is not under investigation, and there is no suggestion of any wrongdoing by the company.”

Image result for PHOTOS OF Brad Parscale AND KUSHNER

What does Cambridge Analytica actually do?

“If you use the internet or social media, you leave behind a digital trail of crumbs. Every post you like, every tweet you retweet, every thread you participate in — it’s all data up for collection and input.”

“Cambridge Analytica, a company created by Robert Mercer, a billionaire patron of right-wing outlets like Breitbart News, has been swallowing up all the data they can get. They’re not the only company doing this, but they appear to be the most prominent — in part because of their high-profile clients.”

“In a 2016 speech, Alexander Nix, the CEO of Cambridge Analytica, unfurled the company’s methodology: “We’ve rolled out a long-form quantitative instrument to probe the underlying traits that inform personality,” he proclaimed. “If you know the personality of the people you’re targeting, you can nuance your messaging to resonate more effectively with those key groups.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

“By “your message” he means whoever pays the company for its services. But so far the firm has only taken on Republican clients, with Ted Cruz and Ben Carson being the most visible. They also worked on behalf of 2016 pro-Brexit “Leave” campaign, mining online data and using it to target and persuade British voters.”

So what are they doing with all that data?

“Cambridge Analytica has built models that translate the data they harvest into personality profiles for every American adult — Nix claims to have “somewhere close to 4 or 5 thousand data points on every adult in the US.”

“Their models are based on the psychometric research of Michal Kosinski, who in 2013 was still a PhD candidate at the University of Cambridge (hence the name “Cambridge Analytica”). Kosinski and his colleagues developed a model that linked subjects’ Facebook likes with their OCEAN scores. OCEAN refers to a questionnaire used by psychologists that describes personalities along five dimensions — openness to experience, conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness, and neuroticism.”

Related image

“Cambridge Analytica has combined this social psychology with data analytics. They collect data from Facebook and Twitter (which is perfectly legal) and have purchased an array of other data — about television preferences, airline travel, shopping habits, church attendance, what books you buy, what magazines you subscribe to — from third-party organizations and so-called data brokers.”

“They take all this information and use it for what Nix calls “behavioral microtargeting” — basically individualized advertising.”

“Instead of tailoring ads according to demographics, they use psychometrics. It’s a simple idea, really. Rather than assuming that all women or African Americans or working-class whites will respond to the same message, they target individual voters with emotionally charged content — in other words, ads designed to tug on emotional biases.”

“The success of this approach hinges on the accuracy of the company’s psychological profiles. But how much can they know about someone’s psyche on the basis of a few tweets or likes? Quite a lot, apparently. In a 2016 profile for Das Magazin, a Zürich-based culture magazine, Kosinski talked about the predictive power of his model.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

“Here’s how the authors summed it up:”

“The strength of their [Kosinski and his Cambridge colleagues] modeling was illustrated by how well it could predict a subject’s answers. Kosinski continued to work on the models incessantly: before long, he was able to evaluate a person better than the average work colleague, merely on the basis of ten Facebook “likes.” Seventy “likes” were enough to outdo what a person’s friends knew, 150 what their parents knew, and 300 “likes” what their partner knew. More “likes” could even surpass what a person thought they knew about themselves.”

“Combine this kind of predictive power with an army of bots and you’ve got a potent propaganda tool. As Woolley told me, “One person controlling a thousand bot accounts is able to not just affect the people in their immediate circle but also potentially the algorithm of the site on which their operating.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS
Alexander Nix. Image: Cambridge Analytica

“Bots are even more effective, as they’re able to react instantly to trending topics on Twitter and Facebook, producing targeted posts, images, and even YouTube videos.”

“The technologies can capture what people are thinking at a particular moment,” Albright told me, “and serve it back to them over and over again.” And with the benefit of psychographic profiling, he adds, they’re able to deliver “content on an individual basis on Twitter and Facebook feeds where people are being grabbed and pulled in certain directions through certain types of posts.”

“I’ve called it an emotional leash,” Woolley said.”

Related image

There is a lot we don’t know

“We don’t know if Flynn actually passed any data to the Russians. Nor do we know if his numerous ties to Russia resulted in collusion.”

“We don’t know if the Trump campaign coordinated with the Russians to help their disinformation operation. We know only that there are many points of overlap. And if anyone in his campaign did coordinate with Russia, we don’t know if Trump himself was involved in any way.”

“We don’t know if the data produced by Cambridge Analytica ever found its way to Russians. And if it did, we don’t know for sure how it got there or how much it helped or if the company was aware of it.”

“We also don’t know how useful Cambridge Analytica’s work was to the Trump campaign. Researchers like Woolley told me that the company’s capabilities are a “bit overblown,” but we simply don’t know. We know only what they’ve admitted publicly about their methods and what they claim to be able to do.”

Image result for PHOTO OF CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA HEADQUARTERS

“One thing we do know is that data companies like Cambridge Analytica have changed things. Facebook is already under fire for allowing Russia to manipulate its algorithms during the 2016 election. And we’ve likely just scratched the surface in terms of how state actors are able to weaponize information online. The role of companies like Cambridge Analytica in these efforts remains something of a mystery, however.”

“In any event, no definitive evidence has emerged that connects Cambridge Analytica and the Trump campaign to Russia’s efforts to influence our election. What we’re left with, ultimately, is a ton of smoke and no fire. But if the ongoing investigations conclude that the Trump campaign did help Russia target voters, expect to hear more about Cambridge Analytica.”

“It’s entirely possible that such collusion could have occurred and the work of Cambridge Analytica had nothing to do with it; however, that would be strange, since targeting voters is precisely what the company was hired to do.”

 Related Article:  The Data That Turned the World Upside Down – Motherboard 1/28/17

4 comments

  1. Dear Mz. Gronda,
    Would it be too much of a stretch to question how much the current news cycle involving the administration is still being controlled by this group or another yet unnamed group? How much of the disinformation being released on what seems like a momentary basis is based on data supplied by this group? Could even the book just released be part of a plan to divert the minds of the public from the real criminal acts that have been committed? It would seem at times that we are seeing a massive effort to numb the senses to the actual facts of this case. The real question will, I suppose, be answered after the completion of the investigation as determined by the response to any illegal acts discovered and revealed.. Many days it has seemed like we the people are on a “Snipe Hunt”, searching for an animal that is only a myth!!

  2. Dear Crustyolemothman,

    I do believe that disparate interest groups including the president’s republican sycophants in the US Congress have been using the president as a Trojan Horse.

    These bottom feeders have figured out that President is very vulnerable to flattery which they can use as a weapon to further their own agendas. This is why they keep carrying his water. He is their very useful idiot who just happens to be a decent sales person but without a conscience.

    Hugs, Gronda

  3. Gronda, social media has permitted groups like this to exploit in a targeted way. Politicians have been doing this for ages, but now it is like shooting fish in a barrel and the best of the bunch comes under the guidance of Putin. In conversations, people use these messages as if they are founded in truth, but they are well positioned messages. The truth only matters if it is in one’s favor. Trump can say the economy is doing great and he is responsible. The former is true, the latter is not so much as the President has much less impact on the economy, good or bad, than he is given credit for. Keith

    • Dear Keith,

      You’ve called it. There is a messaging war that is on going. This is where I see the value in our blogging family. We are delivering messaging that is counter to “fake news,” and the dumbing down of our culture. Lots of voices like ours make make a difference.

      The latest Quinnipiac polls are showing that mare Americans give President Obama more credit for our economy than President Trump.

      Hugs, Gronda

Comments are closed.