Bill Maher keeps warning his listeners to be critical of the republican President Donald Trump but not his followers, as many who voted for him were just sick and tired of not being listened to regarding the loss of decent jobs that pay a living wage. He has a point.
President Trump and his fellow GOP leaders backed by corporate dark money donors have been supporting and encouraging the misconceptions that it is the immigrant or the other (fill in the blank) as well as the movement of these jobs to overseas locations to cut fixed costs which have been responsible for the loss of blue collar jobs that pay a living wage and for wage stagnation that has lasted for decades.
Yes, these developments have cost US manufacturing/ mining jobs but there’s something that President Trump and his GOP cronies have not been sharing with these displaced workers. The vast majority of these employment opportunities have been replaced by technology/ automation/ robotics at the behest of corporate bigwigs.
The New York Times ran a story titled “The Long-Term Jobs Killer Is Not China. It’s Automation,” while the Associated Press explained “Why robots, not trade, are behind so many factory job losses.” A much-cited Ball State University study suggests that automation has already proven a major driver of job loss this millennium. The paper notes that the decade between 2000 to 2010 marked the U.S.’s largest decline in manufacturing jobs in its history. The National Economic Council Director turned Harvard professor Larry Summers penned the bluntly titled piece “Robots are hurting middle class workers. ”
In conclusion, it’s the corporate leaders who have made the decisions to displace US workers by moving jobs abroad to reduce costs/ increase profits. It’s the corporate bosses who have decided not to use the governments free service (taxpayers’ monies) of E-Verify to check on the legal status of an immigrant employee. If there are no jobs open to undocumented workers, then immigration driven by economic concerns would be curtailed. And it’s the corporate brass who have been resorting to the usage of Robots, at a cost to many manufacturing jobs.
What’s worse is that President Trump has most of the products he uses and sells made overseas as he habitually hires immigrants to staff his various resorts. Current White House current immigration bans have more to do with barring peoples of color from entering the USA versus the keeping of US jobs on US soil.
I’m grateful that the Democratic Party candidate Andrew Yang has qualified for the 7th Democratic Party debate as he’s the one voice who has been focusing on these issues.
As per the Economic Policy Institute (EPI), from WWII to 1973, when US corporations productivity numbers increased to 95.65%, the average workers’ pay wages increased by 91%. This picture shifted from 1973-2018, as corporate productivity increased by 77%, but the average workers’ pay increased by less than 13% which just happens to coincide with the establishment of ALEC in 1973.
ALEC (American Legislative Exchange Council) was founded in 1973 by corporations in order to craft legislation designed to promote corporate interests and then to be used by GOP lawmakers at work in states with GOP majority legislative bodies and the US Congress. ALEC was backed by Koch brothers’ monies and included titans from the business world like Exxon-Mobile of the fossil fuel sector, Wall Street, the insurance industry, along with the NRA (National Rifle Association) plus the religious New Right, represented by its figurehead Paul Michael Weyrick, an American religious conservative (Evangelical) political activist. He co-founded the conservative think tanks The Heritage Foundation, the Free Congress Foundation, and the American Legislative Exchange Council. Many of these ALEC members are also the dark money donors of today.
Paul Weyrich launched the precursor to Fox News, NET. As per Wikipedia, National Empowerment Television (NET), also known as America’s Voice, was a cable TV network designed to rapidly mobilize conservative followers for grassroots lobbying. It was created by Paul Weyrich, a key strategist for the paleoconservative movement. At its peak, it claimed to reach more than 11 million homes.
Here’s the rest of the story…
On June 26, 2019, Rory Cellane-Jones of the BBC penned the following analysis, “Robots ‘to replace up to 20 million factory jobs’ by 2030”
“Up to 20 million manufacturing jobs around the world could be replaced by robots by 2030, according to analysis firm Oxford Economics.”
“People displaced from those jobs are likely to find that comparable roles in the services sector have also been squeezed by automation, the firm said.”
“However, increasing automation will also boost jobs and economic growth, it added.”
“The firm called for action to prevent a damaging increase in income inequality.”
Rise of the robots
“Each new industrial robot wipes out 1.6 manufacturing jobs, the firm said, with the least-skilled regions being more affected.”
“Regions where more people have lower skills, which tend to have weaker economies and higher unemployment rates anyway, are much more vulnerable to the loss of jobs due to robots, Oxford Economics said.”
“Moreover, workers who move out of manufacturing, tend to get new jobs in transport, construction, maintenance, and office and administration work – which in turn are vulnerable to automation, it said.”
“On average, each additional robot installed in those lower-skilled regions could lead to nearly twice as many job losses as those in higher-skilled regions of the same country, exacerbating economic inequality and political polarisation, which is growing already, Oxford Economics said.”
“We’ve seen plenty of predictions that robots are about to put everyone, from factory workers to journalists, out of a job, with white collar work suddenly vulnerable to automation.”
“But this report presents a more nuanced view, stressing that the productivity benefits from automation should boost growth, meaning as many jobs are created as lost.”
“While it sees the robots moving out of the factories and into service industries, it’s still in manufacturing that the report says they will have the most impact.”
“Where service jobs are under threat, they are in industries such as transport or construction rather than the law or journalism and it’s lower-skilled people who may have moved from manufacturing who are vulnerable.”
“The challenge for governments is how to encourage the innovation that the robots promise while making sure they don’t cause new divides in society.”
Oxford Economics found the more repetitive the job, the greater the risk of its being wiped out.”
Jobs which require more compassion, creativity or social intelligence are more likely to continue to be carried out by humans “for decades to come”, it said.
The firm called on policymakers, business leaders, workers, and teachers to think about how to develop workforce skills to adapt to growing automation.
About 1.7 million manufacturing jobs have already been lost to robots since 2000, including 400,000 in Europe, 260,000 in the US, and 550,000 in China, it said.
The firm predicted that China will have the most manufacturing automation, with as many as 14 million industrial robots by 2030.
In the UK, several hundreds of thousands of jobs could be replaced, it added.
However, if there was a 30% rise in robot installations worldwide, that would create $5 trillion in additional global GDP, it estimated.
At a global level, jobs will be created at the rate they are destroyed, it said.
On November 8, 2016, Wolfgang Lehmacher of Fortune Magazine published the following report, “Don’t Blame China For Taking U.S. Jobs”
“Where have all the manufacturing jobs gone? If you ask Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, the answer is China! But there’s another, more plausible explanation. (As per) Hillary Clinton, “It’s the robots, stupid”.
“The U.S. has lost 5 million factory jobs since 2000. Trade has claimed production jobs – in particular when China joined the WTO in 2001. Nevertheless, there was no downturn in U.S. manufacturing output. As a matter of fact, U.S. production has been growing over the last decades. From 2006 to 2013, “manufacturing grew by 17.6%, or at roughly 2.2% per year,” according to a report from Ball State University.”
“The study reports as well that trade accounted for 13% of the lost U.S. factory jobs, but 88% of the jobs were taken by robots and other factors at home.”
Good post, Gronda … informative! And the use of technology to replace people is only likely to grow in the coming years. What bothers me, though, is all the robotics and machinery is reliant on one thing: electricity. When, one day, the electric grid is compromised, then what? Again … is sure is good to have you back! Hugs!
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I just wish the Democratic Party presidential wannabees would discuss this reality more openly to explain to the blue collar workers who’ve lost their good paying manufacturing jobs, so that they get that’s not the other (immigrants or peoples of colors) that are the culprit for their loss of good paying jobs.
It would be great if companies were required to pay added taxes so that these hard working folks could get retrained for other employment that provides for a living wage plus benefits.
I’m slowly coming back into the blogging planet. Thanks for your kind words.
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I fully agree. Sadly, it seems the democratic candidates are more interested in fighting each other than doing as you say, explaining the reality to the people. Hopefully they soon get their heads on straight. Yes, I’d love to see companies either provide training themselves or pay additional taxes for re-training … heck, I’d like to see companies pay taxes period! The list of corporations that paid none, some even getting refunds, in 2018 was appalling.
I’m so glad you’re coming back! We have all really missed you!
Yes it is automation rather than immigration that has displaced workers.
I want to insist, however, that automation is good. It eliminates a lot of back breaking and mind numbing labor. The real problem is that corporate executives have kept most of the benefits of automation for themselves, instead of allowing society as a whole to benefit.
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I’m pro business and pro-progress/ technology. I’m even pro-trade. But we as taxpayers can no longer subsidize the businesses who do what its executives do at the expense of the displaced worker. In my opinion, corporations should be required to subsidize the retraining of these workers so that they can fill other needed corporate opportunities at a living wage.
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Excellent post….so informative
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Thank you for your gracious feedback.
I wish that more of the Democratic Party political candidates would resort to talking points about this to explain how the current president is misleading them with fake explanations and empty promises.
Gronda, this is excellent. You have done a very thorough job which speaks a fact-based truth. We have long discussed the immigration issue has been highlighted by the incumbent president as a major issue causing disenfranchisement. Immigration issues need to be improved upon, but the major issues causing worker disenfranchisement are – automation and CEOs chasing cheaper labor.
I am glad you added the work of ALEC. Since their origination, their has been an active campaign to cut the knees out of collective bargaining, which employers hate. Through these above issues – automation , pursuit of cheap labor and defanging unions – the pay differential has expanded greatly.
As Jill notes, this will only get worse. Politicians need to shoot straight with people. We deserve. And, when they don’t, they need to be called out. The current president has conned his followers in a huge way. And, they do not even know it. Deregulation, a top-loaded tax cut, making it harder for franchise workers to sue the brand name they sell, etc.
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Not long after I met with you and Mary Ann, doctors told me that because I have a huge kidney stone in a problem location, I will most likely require surgical intervention. Because my best friend, my Mom died on the operating table at Tampa General when she was nor much older than I am now, I’m terrified of this prospect.
I’ve gone back into hiding but I’m fighting this reflexive reaction as it’s not constructive.
As for this post, I’m sick of not hearing much about this subject on the debate stage. I want the Democratic Party presidential candidates to have realistic plans to deal with displaced miners and workers from manufacturing plants.
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